Thoughts on the Threat to be faced SHTF

[maxvelocity]

You should not just consider the situation at the time of the collapse but also give thought to how things will develop as time goes on. If there is a total collapse then people will get desperate very quickly. It may be that the government is still functioning to some degree and there may still be troops under command trying to restore order under martial law. Criminal gangs may coalesce to loot for supplies and exploit the lawlessness of the situation. Groups will form for defense, such as around towns or neighborhoods, and they will likely be very suspicious of “outsiders”. Your better defense will be in numbers, preferably selected, trained and of sufficient size and ability to be able to defend against raids by armed and motivated enemy groups. It is likely that most people will be averse to the dangers of physical injury in a post collapse scenario, but that may be a simplistic view; you can’t assume that a raid will not progress onto your property or location simply because you are armed. People will be desperate, and if they feel confident with their group, perhaps buoyed by other successful raids, they will be emboldened. They may already be committed to an attack before they realize that your defense is effectively putting some of their number down. It depends on the exact circumstances if they are already too committed to go back by then. It is also true that a group of amoral looters may well have become a raiding band and, in a similar way to a criminal band or drug cartel, they may be very well organized as a group. This situation will result in relationship, group and leadership dynamics that will make it hard to 1) not seek to exact retribution from a prepper location that has mauled the gang and 2) will create a “group think” and unwillingness of individuals to countermand orders (along with machismo) that may allow an attack to be pressed despite the theory that personal survival should be their paramount consideration. Thus, some groups have dynamics that override our feeling that it would be “suicidal” or “crazy” to keep pushing forward under such circumstances. You would not do it, but don’t discount the possibility that others will. By all means, you have to be able to defend your home or location, which will include your family and friends. But before you decide to make a stand you have to consider if making a stand at that location, and with the resources that you have, is going to be effective against the threat you face. If you feel in any way that your location is not defendable against the threat, then you need to bug out.
Excerpt from: Contact!

[kelu]

Found this today:
http://westernrifleshooters.wordpress.c ... -violence/

[Palladin]

That's pretty damned relevant, kelu - thanks.

[FiremanBob]

That Bracken piece is one excellent analysis. Makes me hope we can break the socialist momentum before it comes to that.

[Reverenddel]

Agreed, that Bracken piece was excellent. Thanks for posting.

[skew12]

Great article. The amount of preparation needed to survive in that is astounding. In the least

[ Post made via Mobile Device ]

[kelu]

Another story from Bracken, if you like how it writes: http://westernrifleshooters.wordpress.c ... -the-coup/