Dow Should Be at 9,000, not 14,000 - Market Is 'Artificial'
Posted: Tue, 02 Oct 2012 16:57:47
Freedom Isn't Free - Buy a Gun.
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The intrensic value theory is practically ancient economic thinking. Nothing has intrensic value; to suggest otherwise violates the very concept of valuation. If you want to move forward in your valuation theory knowledge into the modern era, check out subjective valuation based on marginal utility.Kreutz wrote:Stating the stock market is "artificial" in a headline is equivalent to a glaringly alarmist headline informing us "The Sun is really big and hot".
Ya think? Since one cannot eat a stock certificate nor live in it its value is of course imaginary.
I have a rothIRA but I have no illusions about what it is; I am simply pooling my pretend money with other peoples pretend money in the hopes of getting more pretend money I don't have to pay taxes that never feel pretend on.
Any non-barter based economy is a mututally agreed upon fantasy. The Fed is evil but to the gold standardists I would remind them gold is just very heavy pretend money albeit in a finite form too.
Like federal reserve notes gold has no intrinsic value (beyond some industrial and medical uses). We just psychologically assigned value to it because it was rare and shiny.
Ouch!gunderwood wrote:Edit: Kreutz = economic flat-earther
No. Valuation is done by people, the item has no intrensic value without their judgement of its value. Yes, basic needs are a key component of some things we value, but it does not explain why people on this board have so many firearms, or why some people value a peice of artwork at $10,000 and others wouldn't hang it in their house if you paid them. A bottle of water has no value if you're 20ft under a lake and drowning, but is practically priceless if you're in the desert and dying of thirst. It's the same bottle of water and in one case it's worth nothing and the other it's worth virtually anything. The bottle of water didn't change, the people in question changed their valuation of it subjectively based on their preception/understanding of how it fulfills their needs and desires. This is subjective valuation.Kreutz wrote:Ouch!gunderwood wrote:Edit: Kreutz = economic flat-earther
Just remember with your fancy post 18th century economic thinking valuation still comes down to...
1) Can you or I eat it?
2) Will it keep you or I from dying of exposure?
3) Can you or I use it to live in?
Until we transcend our physical forms with the coming of Xenu we will always be constrained by the three above and anything not directly satisfying the above three or allowing us to acquire them more efficently is worthless on a non-fantasy level.
Please note I'm not knocking the idea of nor the usefulness of currency (which allowed the development of occupations and early civilizations such as Uruk), I'm just saying when you reallllllllllllllllllllly get down to it its all a pretend game, doesnt matter if its dollars, gold or wampum.
………………………………………………………………gunderwood wrote: No. Valuation is done by people, the item has no intrensic value without their judgement of its value. Yes, basic needs are a key component of some things we value, but it does not explain why people on this board have so many firearms, or why some people value a peice of artwork at $10,000 and others wouldn't hang it in their house if you paid them. A bottle of water has no value if you're 20ft under a lake and drowning, but is practically priceless if you're in the desert and dying of thirst. It's the same bottle of water and in one case it's worth nothing and the other it's worth virtually anything. The bottle of water didn't change, the people in question changed their valuation of it subjectively based on their preception/understanding of how it fulfills their needs and desires. This is subjective valuation.
…………………………………………………gunderwood wrote: Each additional unit of something has less utility to the owner. A box of ammo is great if you have very little or none. If you have stockpiled 100 million rounds, the next box of ammo makes virtually no difference. The value that people subjectively attribute to items is influenced by the quantity of things they have the fullfil their need or desire. The "price" they are willing to let one unit go for is essentially it's marginal untility. e.g. even two people under the exact same circumstances, zombie attack, subjectively value the same item different because the cost of selling one unit varies for both. The man with 100 million rounds will hand them out for nothing more than a promise to help defend the compound, while the man who only has one box will likely not sell it for a literal ton of gold.
…………………………………………………………….gunderwood wrote: These two concepts describe how people make valuation judgements and have nothing to do with inherent value of an object and how that relates currency.
……………………………………………………….gunderwood wrote: Your idea of money if flawed. Just like any other man-made item it has an intended function. How well if fulfills that function depends on many things and for money there has yet to be a single solution which is best at every requirement. The world doesn't really run on Dollars anymore or Euros or any other physical currency. Most of the worlds "money" is nothing more than information stored in a computer. This form of digital currancy is huge on portability (a requirement of good money since it aids in one of its functions which is to facilitate exchange), but their history shows their lack of accountabilty for creation, i.e. creation is practically costless to the creator, breeds corruption and inhibits value storage (another primary function of money). Most gold bugs, myself and noted economists, aren't saying that gold is perfect, but rather it is one of the better standards because other forms of money which have no actual asset backing, and thus are practically free to create, have caused emense havok with exchange and value storage. So great are these problems that they have destroyed great civilizations throughout human history. Analysis of the functional requirements of money indicates that gold is one of the best assets to base a currency upon and that is why we prefer it. However, we prefer currency competition so as to avoid the plague of government corruption which is unavoidable when they can create money of nothing or demand acceptance of their form of money. Actual gold is good. So is silver, so is digital or paper cirtificates backed by whatever asset of your choice...on and on.
Gold and silver have been money since the dawn of civilization and even the modern attempts to demonetize it have been unsuccessful. It's not some mythical inherent value of the metals, but rather that their inherent physical properties align well the requirements for exchange and storage of value (aka money). The primary reason for governments disliking gold and silver is because the creation of new monies is difficult and prevents them from increasing their power through spending...advocates of gold and silver say, that's part of the whole point!
You said things have intrinsic value and even just stated it was correct again, which is wrong. If you really understood what you are claiming too, you would understand that the concept of intrinsic value was searched for centuries by the classical economists to no avail. It's been disproven, regardless of your statements to the contrary.Kreutz wrote:Well, you kind of made a mountain of a molehill on this one. I'm keenly aware valuation is more multifaceted than my extremely reductionist example, but please keep in mind I said
"gold has no intrinsic value (beyond some industrial and medical uses)."
Which is factually correct. Yes I'm aware of the reasons and utility of its use as a medium of exchange, but when you really do get down to it, at some point people decided consciously or unconsciously it had value and could be used as a substitute for bartered goods or services. There is an undeniable psychological underpinning to all non-barter transactions; aka an "economy".
I still find it really revolutionary I can trade paper someone drew on for food someone worked really hard to grow, harvest, and deliver, but as a economic flat earther it is to be expected I marvel at such 6,000 year old newfangled ideas like money.![]()
I hear someone is making progress on adapting a discoid object to transport goods and people over great distances; the fools! We just domesticated the mule, slow down already!
This is worth calling out as I think it's one of the main reasons people get attached to the inherent idea of value, rather than subjective valuation. Utility isn't limited to basic needs. Utility is anything that facilitates or enhances the life of individuals; human beings. Art is a great example. Its utility may only exist because it makes you happy when you see (all senses really) it and it's likely that someone else truely hates it. Its utility is your happyiness and that causes you to value it highly, whereas the person that hates it will value it quite differently. Utility isn't limited to concrete uses like "I can eat it." That false concept leads people to the idea that the value is in the object rather than their assessment of the object.dorminWS wrote:This applies even to the subjectively-valued art. Its utility is derived from my desire to possess and admire it or from my expectation that I can sell it later. That is its utility.
Er, things do have intrinsic value. It doesn't "sound right" but it is. Yes they can vary by time, place, and situation, but certain things are valuable simply for what they are, hence have intrinsic value....I don't consider gold much in this category, but basic physical necessities like drinkable water and food are worth something by virtue of being consumable and necessary for life.gunderwood wrote:You said things have intrinsic value and even just stated it was correct again, which is wrong. If you really understood what you are claiming too, you would understand that the concept of intrinsic value was searched for centuries by the classical economists to no avail. It's been disproven, regardless of your statements to the contrary.
It's an economic myth that refuses to die because it sounds so "right" to the economically ignorant (i.e. economically uneducated) and there are many other economic myths as well. That's why I made the flat earth reference, it too has been disproven, but at least it seems we've put that flawed idea to bed unlike intrinsic value.
The intrinsic value of water is the physical fact that it is composed of hydrogen and oxygen atoms in a specific arrangement; i.e. it's water. Gold is the same. However, neither of these physical properties or their descriptions has anything to do with their valuation by human beings in an economy, specificly for consideration of exchange. You're playing meaningless word games with "value."Kreutz wrote:Er, things do have intrinsic value. It doesn't "sound right" but it is. Yes they can vary by time, place, and situation, but certain things are valuable simply for what they are, hence have intrinsic value....I don't consider gold much in this category, but basic physical necessities like drinkable water and food are worth something by virtue of being consumable and necessary for life.gunderwood wrote:You said things have intrinsic value and even just stated it was correct again, which is wrong. If you really understood what you are claiming too, you would understand that the concept of intrinsic value was searched for centuries by the classical economists to no avail. It's been disproven, regardless of your statements to the contrary.
It's an economic myth that refuses to die because it sounds so "right" to the economically ignorant (i.e. economically uneducated) and there are many other economic myths as well. That's why I made the flat earth reference, it too has been disproven, but at least it seems we've put that flawed idea to bed unlike intrinsic value.
I mean, we can go round and round on this, but physical reality and biology kind of support inherent value.